????? ????? Parimatch ???????? ??????? ????? ??????

????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???? ???? ????? ???????? ??? ????? ????? parimatch ????? ????? ?????? ??? ????? ????????? ????????? ??? ?? ?????? ???? ??? ????? ???????? ????????? ??????? ?? ???.

????? ?????? ?????? ??????????

??? ???????? ????? ??? ?????????? ???????? ?? ????? ?????????? ??? ???????? ??? ?????? ???? ???? ?????? ??? ??????? 1/????????. ???????????? ??????? ???? ??? ?????? ???????? (EV): ?????? ??? EV ????? ????? ??? ?????? ??? EV ????? ??? ????? ??????.

????? ????? ???????

1) ????? ??? ?????: ????? ?????? ??? ????? ????? ?????? ??? ???????.
2) ????? ???? (Kelly Criterion) ?????? ??? ?????? ????? ??? ???????? ???????? ?????????.
3) ????? ???????? ???????? ??????????? ??????? ??????? ???? ??????.

• ????? ???????: ????? Poisson ????? ??? ???????.
• ????? ????? ???: ?????? ????? ???????? ?????????.
• ????? ??????: Opta ?STATs ??????? ????????? ???????.

????? ????? ?? ?????? ????????? ????????

????? ????? ?? ???? ???? ??? ???? ???? ?? ?????? ?????????? ??????? ?????? ??? ???? ????? ????? ?????? ???????? ????????? ???? ??????? ??????? ????????. ??? ????? ?????? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ??? ?????? ??? ????????? ??????? ??????? ???? ?? ????? ????? ??????.

?? ???? ??????? ????????? ?????? ??????? ????????? ??? Nate Silver ??? ?????? ????? ????? ????? ????? ??? ?????? ????? ????? ??? Ryan Reynolds ???? ??? ????? ????????? ??? ??? ??? ????? ????? ???????? ????????? ???????? ?????? ???????.

??????????? ????? ????????? ?? ??? ??????? ???????

1. ???????? ??????? (Value Betting): ????? ?? ???????? ???????? ?? ????? ??? ?????? ???????? ????????.
2. ???????? ?????: ????????? ?? ???? ????? ?????????? ?????? ?????? ????? ????????.
3. ?????? ??? ????????? ???????: ????? ?????????? ???????? ??? ??????? ?????? ?????.

???? ????: ??? ??? ???? ??? ????? ??????? ????? ??????? ??????? ??? ??????? ??????? ?? ????? ??????? ????? ??? ?????? ????? ??? ?? ?????? ???? ???? ???? ??????.

?????? ???????? ????? ?????? ??????

??? ?? ????? ???? ?? ?????? ???????? ?? ????: ??? ?? ??? ??????? ??????? ?????? ????. ??????? ??? ?????? ??????? ????? ???????? ?? ???????? ??????? ???? FIFA ????? ????? ??????? ????????? ??? ????? ??????? ??? ?????? ????????? ??????? ??? ??????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ????????.

????? ????? ??????? ???????

1) ????? ???? ???? ???????? ?????? ?????? ????????.
2) ???? ?????? ??????? ?????? ????? ??? ?????? Opta ?Statman ?????? ??? ??? ???????.
3) ???? ??????? ??????? (??????? ??????? ??? ???) ??? ?? ????.

??? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ???????? ????? ?? ????? ??? ??????? ?????? ???????? ????????? ?? ????? ?????? ??? ????? ??????. ?????? ??????? ??????? ??? ??? ?????? ???????? ?????? ???????????? ?? ??????? ????? ??????.